Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000213 0.000238 0.000265 0.000296 0.000330 0.000367 0.000410
2025-06-01 0.000173 0.000206 0.000244 0.000290 0.000345 0.000407 0.000483
2025-06-08 0.000146 0.000184 0.000229 0.000287 0.000360 0.000447 0.000560
2025-06-15 0.000126 0.000167 0.000218 0.000287 0.000377 0.000489 0.000642
2025-06-22 0.000110 0.000152 0.000207 0.000284 0.000389 0.000526 0.000718
2025-06-29 0.000099 0.000143 0.000203 0.000289 0.000410 0.000575 0.000815
2025-07-06 0.000090 0.000134 0.000197 0.000290 0.000427 0.000619 0.000907
2025-07-13 0.000081 0.000125 0.000189 0.000288 0.000437 0.000653 0.000989
2025-07-20 0.000075 0.000120 0.000188 0.000295 0.000462 0.000709 0.001105
2025-07-27 0.000070 0.000115 0.000184 0.000297 0.000478 0.000754 0.001207
2025-08-03 0.000064 0.000109 0.000179 0.000298 0.000492 0.000796 0.001307
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000102 0.000173 0.000295 0.000499 0.000827 0.001391
2025-08-17 0.000055 0.000098 0.000170 0.000297 0.000517 0.000877 0.001512
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000092 0.000164 0.000295 0.000525 0.000912 0.001611
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000087 0.000159 0.000294 0.000536 0.000952 0.001721
2025-09-07 0.000043 0.000083 0.000156 0.000294 0.000550 0.000999 0.001845
2025-09-14 0.000040 0.000079 0.000151 0.000292 0.000557 0.001034 0.001952
2025-09-21 0.000038 0.000077 0.000150 0.000297 0.000579 0.001097 0.002113
2025-09-28 0.000035 0.000074 0.000148 0.000299 0.000595 0.001149 0.002258
2025-10-05 0.000033 0.000070 0.000144 0.000296 0.000603 0.001186 0.002376
2025-10-12 0.000032 0.000069 0.000145 0.000304 0.000630 0.001263 0.002576
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.000067 0.000143 0.000306 0.000647 0.001320 0.002740
2025-10-26 0.000028 0.000065 0.000140 0.000307 0.000661 0.001371 0.002898